In 2022 total global energy consumption amounted to 178,899 TWh (https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption).
In what year will the total energy consumption first exceed 200 thousand TWh (or 200 PWh), according to Our World in Data?
If the first year in which the energy usage is higher than 200 PWh is X, options "Before X+1", "Before X+2", ... will be resolved as YES and "Before X", "Before X-1", ... as NO.
I do not bet on my own questions.
1,000
1.00Note that we won't see much benefit from decarbonization in these numbers. From the link:
"Note, again, that this is based on primary energy via the substitution method: this means nuclear and renewable energy technologies have been converted into their “primary input equivalents” if they had the same levels of inefficiency as fossil fuel conversion."
My linear regression analysis:
2003 regression gives 135296.9567965716 true value is 130218.013508
2004 regression gives 137631.95230149012 true value is 135901.62616299998
2005 regression gives 139966.94780640956 true value is 139877.18816
2006 regression gives 142301.94331132807 true value is 143408.59607
2007 regression gives 144636.93881624658 true value is 147357.26037600002
2008 regression gives 146971.93432116602 true value is 148865.114603
2009 regression gives 149306.92982608452 true value is 146576.02342599997
2010 regression gives 151641.92533100303 true value is 152992.55716
2011 regression gives 153976.92083592154 true value is 156131.91247
2012 regression gives 156311.91634084098 true value is 158096.71709
2013 regression gives 158646.9118457595 true value is 160550.31066000002
2014 regression gives 160981.907350678 true value is 162018.41086
2015 regression gives 163316.90285559744 true value is 163165.08198000002
2016 regression gives 165651.89836051594 true value is 164995.57384
2017 regression gives 167986.89386543445 true value is 168221.158
2018 regression gives 170321.8893703539 true value is 172513.74970000001
2019 regression gives 172656.8848752724 true value is 174274.34399999998
2020 regression gives 174991.8803801909 true value is 168468.80560000002
2021 regression gives 177326.87588511035 true value is 177057.1632
2022 regression gives 179661.87139002886 true value is 178898.675
2023 regression gives 181996.86689494736
2024 regression gives 184331.8623998668
2025 regression gives 186666.8579047853
2026 regression gives 189001.85340970382
2027 regression gives 191336.84891462233
2028 regression gives 193671.84441954177
2029 regression gives 196006.83992446028
2030 regression gives 198341.83542937879
2031 regression gives 200676.83093429822
2032 regression gives 203011.82643921673
2033 regression gives 205346.82194413524
2034 regression gives 207681.81744905468