Will global energy consumption exceed 50,000 terawatt-hours in 2040?
Will global energy consumption exceed 50,000 terawatt-hours in 2040?
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Resolves to yes if the net energy consumption on Earth from January 1st 2039 - December 31st 2039 exceeds 50k Twh. Includes energy generated off-Earth.
Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Biltmore_Estate_electric_light_1.jpg
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@RemNi Yes, I just wanted to point out that as stated the question requires serious de-growth.
It is possible that you meant just electricity, not all energy: https://www.statista.com/statistics/280704/world-power-consumption/
@OlegEterevsky ahh that's probably it. I'll stick to the wording of the original question. Great tips! 😄
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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