Will a ceasefire be agreed between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
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Both Russia and Ukraine have to officially confirm within 2024 they have agreed to cease all military action for any length of time. As opposed to other markets, it does not have to be implemented by the parties; it resolves Yes immediately after mutual confirmation of the intention.

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@42irrationalist Every time you find one of my Russia markets, the same thing happens 😁

predicts NO

@PS 😂 lmao, real.

predicts NO

@PS Totally wanted, thank you!