AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉
AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉
Plus
12
Ṁ6282034
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES, all crypto chains (coins) and tokens must go to zero.
Market cap of every single project needs to be listed as worth 0.00 USD on Coingecko - https://www.coingecko.com/
Deadline 10 years: April 1st, 2034.
🤖
Get
1,000and
1.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
By what year (at least) will AI take control of the blockchain?
AI to help design validation systems based on personal blockchains by 2050
69% chance
AI: Valuation above $1T by 2025
38% chance
AI: Valuation above $1T by 2030
74% chance
AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions
28% chance
AI: Valuation above $1T by 2035
84% chance
If AI wipes out humanity, will it resolve applicable markets correctly?
40% chance
AI: Valuation above $1T by 2040
86% chance
AI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
16% chance
AI will free us all (Stock)
Ṁ271