How many predictions did the FT writers get wrong for 2025?

Which social election "prediction" will correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 election

How many of my predictions in "Markets for Lemons and the Great Logging Off" will come to pass by the end of 2027?

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?

Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?

Will the majority of longtermist predictions made before 2030 be viewed as directionally correct by 2100?

Which of these Forbes predictions will hold up?

Will Roko (of Roko's Basilisk fame) try tFUS/PropheticAI by EOY 2025?

Which one is the most accurate prediction market? (2024)