Which of these Forbes predictions will hold up?
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39%
Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower than it is today. Intel’s will be meaningfully higher than it is today.
75%
We will interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today.
82%
Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
41%
“Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.
69%
AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
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I feel like AGI as a term is already cracking at the seams. LeCun hates it, Altman thinks it's a bit nebulous, and if memory serves correct Hassabis has also expressed some criticism of the term. Outsiders like Cowen also are regularly expressing doubts about the use of the term.
I'm not as bullish about the uselessness of agents as a term, but it's a tempting valuation.
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