Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?
Mini
11
Ṁ2322028
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to NO if I'm spending less than half of my working time doing alignment research at Redwood Research.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?
70% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?
53% chance
Will I have a career as an alignment researcher by the end of 2024?
38% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?
68% chance
Will I have a research position at Anthropic (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will I have a research position at MIRI by 2025?
9% chance
Will I still work at memorang at the end of 2025?
72% chance
Will taking annual MRIs of the smartest alignment researchers turn out alignment-relevant by 2033?
7% chance
Will I have a research position at Conjecture (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Conditional on not having died from unaligned AGI, I consider myself a full time alignment researcher by the end of 2030
34% chance