Will there be a moon base by 2030? | Manifold

Will there be a moon base by 2030?

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2029

18%

chance

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Must be left on the moon.

Must have sleeping quarters.

Must have been slept in by 2030.

Does not need to be permanently inhabited.

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Made a longer time version of this

I'm imagining something like the HLS lander demo but with sleeping quarters. I don't really think that will happen by 2030 but I can't fully rule it out. It depends a lot on how fast SpaceX will be going and how quickly NASA will turn around their plans to make use of that.

"Artemis base camp" meets the criteria and is supposed to be in place "by the end of the 2020s" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_program

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