NFL Week 15 - Prop Bets
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Jan 4
82%
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
72%
Pick Six
71%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
70%
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
69%
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
67%
LA teams finish with a better record than NY teams
67%
Any team scores 40+ points
66%
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
60%
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
56%
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
50%
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
50%
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
50%
Team change in top 6 super bowl favorites by 12/18 (Lions, Chiefs, Bills, Eagles, Ravens, Vikings)
50%
Josh Allen MVP Odds Improve By 12/18 (Currently: -400)
50%
Will a championship belt change teams (https://shorturl.at/2bXlq) (https://shorturl.at/XwDBj)
47%
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
46%
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
41%
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
40%
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
39%
Safety Scored

2024-25 NFL Season - Week Fifteen

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Twelve (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Twelve finishes, but not later than that.

Game Slate:

Add your own props related to Week Fifteen (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Fifteen finishes, but not later than that.

Other Week 14 Props:

Other Week 15 Markets

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