NFL Week 12 - Prop Bets
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Plus
25
แน€43k
resolved Dec 12
Resolved
YES
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Resolved
YES
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Resolved
YES
Safety Scored
Resolved
YES
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Resolved
YES
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Resolved
YES
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Resolved
YES
A Starting QB gets put on IR the week after the game
Resolved
YES
Fake Punt Attempt
Resolved
YES
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Resolved
YES
A 1pm EST game is still going when a 4:25pm EST game starts
Resolved
YES
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Resolved
YES
Any player throws for more than 325 yards and loses
Resolved
YES
80+ Yard Score
Resolved
YES
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Resolved
YES
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams
Resolved
YES
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Resolved
YES
Will a championship belt change teams (https://shorturl.at/2bXlq) (https://shorturl.at/XwDBj)
Resolved
YES
35% or higher Kick Return rate
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Resolved
YES
A Pick Six

2024-25 NFL Season - Week Twelve

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

Add your own props related to Week Twelve (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Twelve finishes, but not later than that.

Game Slate:


Byes: Falcons, Bills, Bengals, Jaguars, Saints, Jets

Other Week Props:

Other Week 12 Markets

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Week 15!

What does "better record" mean? Is it:
Number of games wons, or
Lowest number of games lost or
Win ratio i.e. Wins/total games played or
If numbers of wins and loses are the same, do margin of victory in scores matter?

(This term is in cat vs bird and also LA vs NY.)

Win percentage First

(So 1 Win, 2 losses, .333 would be worse than 2 wins 3 losses, .4)

If tied at 100% or 0% win percentage, then the better record would be the one that could be better with another game from the team that played less. (2-0 is better than 1-0, 0-1 is better than 0-2).

@StopPunting So it seems you are saying margin of victory never matters. Thanks.
(2-0 is better than 1-0, 0-1 is better than 0-2) yes I see that makes sense.

Not sure if this is possible - probably unlikely anyway so not a high priority to worry about. Anyway ...
Wondering if you have possibly failed to address
1 win 1 loss vs
2 wins 2 losses

as tied at 50% win percentage, so is either better?

Not quite following your tiebreaker rule in this case:
Do you try a win for another game before trying a loss for another game? 2w 1l is better than 3w 2l? or try an extra loss first so 2w 3l is better than 1w 2l? Alternatively perhaps the opposite result of these two means it remains tied so neither is better?

@ChristopherRandles yeah 1-1 and 2-2 would be "equal records". I kinda like the margin of victory thing in the future for different props, could be like Cats teams score more points than Bird teams in a week

@StopPunting Yeah and/or: Cats teams score more net points than Bird teams in a week
(makes it fairer if unequal number of games but that isn't an essential feature)

Sorry for the delay resolving this! I should have it done tonight. Week 13 props are up!