By what year will 30% of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US?
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Plus
9
Ṁ313
2031
15%
by 2026
23%
by 2028
28%
by 2030
72%
not by 2030

According to a survey by Pew Research Center in March 2022, 23% of Republicans in the US say that global climate change is a major threat to the US.

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/06/06/americans-see-different-global-threats-facing-the-country-now-than-in-march-2020/

Resolves according to data from Pew Research Center.

Time ranges include their labeled year; for instance, "by 2026" means a survey using data from 2026 or before.

Multiple time periods can be chosen. For instance, if a survey with a positive result (that is, 30% or more of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US) uses data from 2027, then both "by 2028" and "by 2030" will resolve YES.

If no data is available from Pew Research Center during a particular time period, and if a time period has not already resolved YES because of an earlier positive result, then (sadly) the market choice will resolve as N/A. For instance, if Pew does not release a survey using data from either 2027 or 2028, then the "by 2028" choice will resolve N/A.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/06/climate/winter-february-heat-wave.html

“The world as a whole experienced the hottest February on record, making it the ninth consecutive month of record temperatures. Even more startling, global ocean temperatures in February were at an all-time high for any time of year, according to Copernicus.“

Rana GboughtṀ10not by 2030 YES

That's not what republicans care about even if they realise it's true. It's a personality characteristic.

@RanaG Yeah there was another Pew Research question which asked respondents to rank 20 issues in terms of priority for the president and congress. Apparently the least-chosen top-priority among Republicans was addressing climate change, coming in at 12% (https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/02/29/americans-top-policy-priority-for-2024-strengthening-the-economy/). I almost used that metric rather than the "major threat" metric, but it's really hard to imagine that Republicans will list it as a top priority any time soon.