He resigned and his resignation was accepted. He will serve in a caretaker capacity until a replacement is found, but this can now resolve NO (edit: probably cannot resolve yet).

@NicoDelon aw damn, I didn't read the criteria properly. I was pricing in the chance that he might still be a caretaker on 1st Jan!

@Fion you might recoup some of your losses by betting here:

https://manifold.markets/AntoineChapel/will-barnier-still-be-prime-ministe-96rv0s3lza

@NicoDelon this market doesn't say no comebacks allowed so he can still be renominated

@TotalVerb that’s right. So no resolution yet but it should be close to 0%.

well, rip barnier, i guess.

Added 1k liquidity, that's all I've got 😁 enjoy!

No reaction here ? This question is the most important topic of French media these times. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2024/11/26/france-risks-budget-crisis-as-opposition-threatens-to-topple-government_6734196_5.html

related: https://manifold.markets/LCBOB/will-michel-barnier-still-be-the-pr

Resolves NO if he has resigned but hasn't been replaced yet (i.e. he is "démissionnaire").