Will the best LLM in 2027 have <250 billion parameters? | Manifold

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <250 billion parameters?

Plus

25

Ṁ676

2027

12%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conversational LLM

#Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

Things don't seem to be getting more efficient

predicts NO

How are you counting MoE models?

@vluzko what do you mean? total params

Related questions

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <1 trillion parameters?

-10% 1d16% chance

Will the best LLM in 2025 have <1 trillion parameters?

-23% 1d19% chance

Will the best LLM in 2025 have <500 billion parameters?

Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?

When will the first quadrillion parameter LLM be made?

Will the best LLM in 2026 have <1 trillion parameters?

-27% 1d13% chance

Will the best LLM in 2026 have <500 billion parameters?

-14% 1d13% chance

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <500 billion parameters?

Which LLM has more parameters?

Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?

Related questions

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <1 trillion parameters?

Will the best LLM in 2026 have <1 trillion parameters?

Will the best LLM in 2025 have <1 trillion parameters?

Will the best LLM in 2026 have <500 billion parameters?

Will the best LLM in 2025 have <500 billion parameters?

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <500 billion parameters?

Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?

Which LLM has more parameters?

When will the first quadrillion parameter LLM be made?

Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules