Will OpenAI change their naming scheme (GPT-X) with the successor to GPT-4? (Ṁ200 subsidy!) | Manifold

Will OpenAI change their naming scheme (GPT-X) with the successor to GPT-4? (Ṁ200 subsidy!)

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Resolves NO if GPT-4.5 or GPT-5 (or similar) is released.

Resolves YES if a more capable successor is released with a different naming scheme. Does not resolve if "GPT-4 Turbo" is released (not a successor).

Doesn't resolve yes if they "boil the frog" and just update GPT-4 continuously forever.

A bit of ambiguity exists with the word "successor" in the sense that a sufficiently different agentic model might be released, but it has to be their most "general" model and beat GPT-4 in most respects other than cost or speed.

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Since the creator is inactive, I've brought forward the close date just so that this market isn't forgotten about (traders - including me - will see it in their closed markets after it closes).

The date will be extended if OpenAI are yet to release a more capable model.

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Will OpenAI release GTP-4.5 before GPT-5?

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Will the fifth major model iteration of OpenAI contain the string "GPT-5" in its name (API)?

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Will OpenAI open source the weights to one of the GPT family models in 2024?

Will OpenAI abandon discrete GPT releases in favor of continuous updates?

When GPT5 is released, what pricing structure will OpenAI use ?

Will OpenAI use a different name for an AI model this year than the names it already used with incremental numbers?

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