Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Ross Blocher: Okay. Well, I’ll add to that because both The Sun and the New York Post, which copied it, had seven predictions by Baba Vanga. One of those you just read, but also she might have foreseen that the Russian president would be assassinated by someone from his country next year. That’s big.
Carrie Poppy: Oh, she might have?! Woah! Okay!
Ross Blocher: She might have seen that! She just might have.
Carrie Poppy: Yeah, add that to the spreadsheet.
Ross Blocher: I shall!
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
Resolution criteria if "best judgement" wins the poll:
YES if Vladimir Putin is assassinated by a Russian during 2024 (before January 1, 2025, Moscow Standard Time)
NO otherwise
1,000
1.00@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.