Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?
Plus
83
Ṁ30422039
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@Simon74fe see "battle" vs "non-battle": https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_engagements_during_the_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
@AaronKreider Interesting. I hadn't looked to see whether historical battles had already occurred there.
The start date is the market creation date.
Please consider being less terse in the future. Thanks.
@xyz I'm not opposed, though I am always reluctant to rely on death counts as they are hard to get and often gamed. It's a lot easier to see if a warship is somewhere than if anyone on that warship died (and when).
Related questions
Related questions
Will a minor battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?
39% chance
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
17% chance
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?
27% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
60% chance
Will we see any major wars before the end of 2024? 🤔
24% chance
Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?
42% chance
Will there be WW3 before 2045?
32% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?
27% chance
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
36% chance