Will Israel launch a siege of Northern Gaza by the end of 2024?
Mini
21
Ṁ4810
Jan 1
85%
chance

"Siege" is defined as full clearance of every structure in the district by IDF forces.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ25 NO

@datachef I'm guessing this is more Bibi hating to commit to anything than anything else (and also some reluctance to share any information about his plans with the White House given how much they've been leaking).

@ShakedKoplewitz LOL, yeah the White House is the untrustworthy party. Hilarious.

@ShakedKoplewitz (And this is just staff leaks - not even getting into information leaks by biden himself, like when he told the press about pressuring Israel not to hit nuclear or oil targets)

Sorry y'all, busy week. I think a siege is distinguished by a literal clearing of every single structure. Similar to what the IDF did to al-Shifa or what the US did in Faluja. It would require large numbers of IDF going door to door, room to room, tunnel to tunnel, until fully secured. Sound good? @traders

@datachef "literal clearing of every single structure." - what?

@vitamind As in going door to door and searching every building and tunnel until cleared or destroyed. This is what the IDF did already at al Shifa hospital earlier in the conflict.

@datachef so, again, how does this resolve "Yes"? You aren't defining a "siege" very well here

Enter a description.

That's one big empty question description... How the heck does this resolve? Arguably it should already resolve "Yes".

Haven't they been doing this already for like a year now?

@TheAllMemeingEye no, there's been military raids but no blanket prevention on the movement of people or goods (beyond trying to keep them out of zones of active conflict)

@ShakedKoplewitz Isn't that a blockade? I thought a seige was just an attempt to militarily take over a city?

How are we defining siege?

@hidetzugu I assume it's a reference to this plan.

https://m.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-821301

I'm betting no because neh