Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)
Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)
➕
Plus
19
Ṁ825
2065
42%
chance

"Solved" as defined by developed countries with below-replacement fertility (e.g. China, U.S. , Japan etc. ) returning to replacement levels of fertility (or exceeding) due to uses of the aforementioned fertility-enhancing technologies

Examples of such technologies include:

  • Synthetic Gametogenesis

  • Artificial Wombs

  • Embryo Selection

  • Robot Nannies

  • Fertility Enhancing Drugs

  • Cloning

  • IVF , Freezing of Sperm & Eggs

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00


Sort by:
1y

It's very questionable if there is such a crisis in the first place.

1y

@ProjectVictory Do you mean that lower birthrates are not a bad thing or do you disagree that birth rates have dropped at all?

1y

@elf

1. I'm not entirely convinced that birth rates dropped due to biological, not social reasons.

  1. Currently, underpopulation is not a problem worldwide.

8mo

I don't think that the term "fertility crisis" implies a lack of biological fertility, but rather just the general potential crisis brought about by low fertility rates

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.