Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?
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28
Ṁ8725Jan 1
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The disaster can be natural or human-caused, and can happen anywhere in the world. It can be a series of events, as long as the events are related (e.g. a series of tornadoes in a region, a hurricane that causes flooding, etc.).
This question will resolve using the List of Disasters by Cost Wikipedia Article. To resolve "yes" there must be at least 2 citations from reputable sources verifying the number.
The question will resolve "no" on January 1, 2025 if there is no entry on the list between July 17, 2024 and December 31, 2024.
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