By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
➕
Plus
12
Ṁ1256
2100
36%
By end of 2050
14%
By end of 2030
4%
By end of 2025
1.3%
By end of 2024
1%
By end of July 2024

Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date. Otherwise it resolves NO (if it didn't resolve before that date, or if it resolved to any value other than YES or NO).

(In case the resolution status changes, then this question resolves based on the final resolution date)

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This is a simpler version of these other markets which look at YES vs NO separately: