Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
Plus
62
Ṁ96112027
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a human lands on the moon after 2022 and before 2028, otherwise NO. (The human must be alive to count.)
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
https://manifold.markets/plsdelete/when-will-humans-set-foot-on-the-mo?r=c3BpZGVy
numbers here would indicate "before 2028" at 17%
@spider that market is kind of out of whack with all the other moon landing markets (see list here: https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again )
Free arbitrage if you feel like aligning everything
Related questions
Related questions
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
20% chance
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
57% chance
Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
70% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2028?
24% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2029?
57% chance
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
5% chance
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2025?
1% chance
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?
67% chance
Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?
51% chance