How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025) | Manifold

How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025)

Plus

21

Ṁ17k

Dec 30

1D

1W

1M

ALL

99%

5500

98.7%

5400

99%

5300

99%

5200

99%

5100

82%

5000

Resolved

YES

5900

Resolved

YES

5800

Resolved

YES

5700

Resolved

YES

5600

If S&P trades below a number at any point in 2025 that number resolves YES

#S&P 500 Changes

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ10 5000 YES

bought Ṁ10 5200 YES

bought Ṁ10 5000 YES

5500

bought Ṁ650 5500 YES

@jim YIKES

i want to get off mr @jim 's wild ride

@Ziddletwix mr jim pls let the number go up

bought Ṁ500 5800 YES

You people have a lot of rational faith in me.

@Bayesian can you put some limits up here?

@jim uh idk what the option implied price is

@SemioticRivalry want to fill my 5800 order?

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+12% 1d37% chance

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

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Related questions

How low will S&P500 go in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

When will S&P 500 drop below $5000? (which day?)

Will the S&P 500 fall below 4000 points at any time before the end of 2024?

Will the S&P 500 index drop 40% from peak to trough by March, 2029?

Will a stock in the S&P 500 be down 90% by 2024 year end?

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