Thinking Machines to top Chatbot Arena by EOY 2026?
8
Ṁ2612026
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if a model created by Thinking Machines reaches the top of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard by EOY 2026.
Background
Thinking Machines Lab is a new AI company whose CEO is Mira Murati (former CTO of OpenAI).
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
30% chance
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
27% chance
Will chatbots/AI be powerful enough to make me unsad by EOY2025?
37% chance
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Meta to release world's most advanced AI?
11% chance
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
29% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?