Will a Google model lead METR's task duration chart by EOY?
13
Ṁ995Dec 31
55%
chance
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If a Google model has the longest task length on this chart (50% time horizon) at any point by EOY the market resolves YES:
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
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jim order up for a Google model leading METR's task duration chart by EOY
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