Will we get a new LLM paradigm by EOY? | Manifold

Will we get a new LLM paradigm by EOY?

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25

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Dec 31

32%

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warning, potentially subjective

First we had plain old GPTs, then we had instruct models, then we had chat models, then we had reasoning models

a model in the paradigm has to be top-3 in chatbot arena to count

will we get a new such thing by EOY?

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diffusion models could get there

opened a Ṁ50 NO at 33% order

@jim Possible, but "top-3 in chatbot arena". It'll probably take more time to be SOTA. 30% feels about right.

@jim if we get a model which is some mixture of diffusion and transformers that tops the arena would you resolve yes?

This is too vague. How do you know what Gemini model used what method?

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