Thinking Machines releases an LLM by EOY 2025?
22
Ṁ512Dec 31
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
Thinking Machines Lab is a new AI company whose CEO is Mira Murati (former CTO of OpenAI).
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if Thinking Machines releases to the public an LLM (through an API, through a web interface, or by releasing the model weights) by EOY.
Resolves NO if Thinking Machines does not release an LLM this year.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Which AI lab releases an LLM in October?
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
66% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will we get a new LLM paradigm by EOY?
31% chance
Will a Generative AI (LLM) startup IPO before EOY 2025?
16% chance
LLMs by EOY 2025: Will Retentive Learning Surpass Transformers? (Subsidised 400 M$)
10% chance
Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 before 2026
68% chance
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?
6% chance
Will LLMs Daydream by EOY 2026?
20% chance