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how many H200s will China purchase by EOY 2026
3
แน€2571
2026

Invalid contract

This will resolve somewhat subjectively to my best guess.

I may resolve PROB if precise numbers aren't knowable.

I won't trade after setting initial probabilities

I will include estimates of smuggled chips (with a moderately high bar for evidence and estimates).

Measured starting from Dec 1, 2025

#AI
#Geopolitics
#๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
#Nvidia
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