[Bins up to 36,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Israeli side
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ2934
Jan 1
0.4%
<= 1,0000
25%
1,001-2,000
60%
2,001-4,000
8%
4,001-8,000
3%
8,001-16,000
1.6%
16,001-36,000
1.3%
>36,000

EDIT: First bin should read "<=1,000" not "<=1,0000", and I'll be resolving it if there are fewer than or equal to 1,000 casualties.

Including both soldiers and civilians, as reported by Israeli sources. This market will resolve after the war is over and official estimates are available. Close date may be extended.

The following criteria will be used to determine if the war is over. Either of the following should be true:

  • There's a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas that lasts for at least 30 days.

  • There's a 30-day period in which less than 100 people die on the Palestinian side due to the war, even in the absence of a formal ceasefire agreement.

I won't put mana on this market.

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Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
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Does this include casualties in war theaters other than Gaza and vicinity, inflicted by parties other than Hamas (e.g. Lebanon and the Hezbollah)?

📢Extending Market

@saulmunn Can this resolve or extend?

Let's add more tags to this Q: WarsIsraelArab-Israeli Conflict

@alexlyzhov thanks!

<= 1,0000

This should be 1,000 right?

@georgeyw ahh, good catch. added this as an edit.