wow after all that reddit was the top performer with 165.88%
second place was MSTR with 140%
then GME with 101%

then Liberty broadband at 60%

then nvda at 56%

One month !

@strutheo MSTR had a 10-1 split on August 1st, https://www.microstrategy.com/press/microstrategy-announces-10-for-1-stock-split_07-11-2024. You might want to divide the May 1 price in the spreadsheet by 10, since it's currently showing a large loss, instead of a 30% gain.

@DanielTilkin ty

As of today, according to the spread sheet, the current top 10 are:

GME 92%

MSTR 30%

LBRDA 28%

AAPL 26%

NVDA 24%

META 17%

COST 15%

RDDT 15%

UPRO 14

PFE 12%

@strutheo do dividends and interest payments count for this market? You say "ROI", which would imply yes, but the spreadsheet is price/price, which doesn't consider dividends.

In particular, this will control whether SPRXX has a positive ROI or not. (Which is pretty unlikely to matter, granted.)

if its a non negligible amount ill mention it, i dont think any of them are very high dividends

qcom has been doing surprisingly well

Am I reading correctly that (more or less) these will resolve to be 20% or 0%? In that case the only reason to bet higher than 20% is if you think all other options will have negative returns? NVDA here was priced at 66% which is WAY WAY higher than 20%.

Yeah, that's how I read it as well. I can't see us as having less than 5 with positive return, so I just sold NVDA down from 24%->20%.

about a month in , you can check the link in the description for a spreadsheet tracking the prices.

Is this https://kalshi.com/markets/tiktoksell/congress-passes-law-to-force-tiktok-sale? This market is already closed, does that make it NO? (You can't N/A an option in a multiple choice, right?

There's also https://kalshi.com/markets/tiktokban/us-bans-tiktok, which is about the US, not congress.

@DanielTilkin yeah I can't na them oops

answers closing soon but trading will remain open - OTHER cannot win at the end, don't forget!

more data on the rust and cs2 skins we'll be using

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/AWP%20%7C%20BOOM%20%28Factory%20New%29

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/%E2%98%85%20Shadow%20Daggers%20%7C%20Doppler%20%28Factory%20New%29

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/252490/Tempered%20AK47

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/252490/Tempered%20Mask

interesting this is so high up, but not on the main one i am investing from

💰CoolFold Financial Advice: Suggest Investments for Me & Predict their ROI in 6 months, real money at stake!

‌

set up a spreadsheet to help track this and the other related markets: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1s1OxlwEalnadLVi8z0OMdV-tToKSRUnu8NpE52AF1hQ/edit#gid=0

reminder that on may 1st i am locking new submissions. trading can continue, but no new options will be added. also, other will not be chosen to win

@strutheo Part of the description seems missing. Remind me how it goes again?
At some exact time, whales will manipulate the market and choose ten of the investments trading at 0% for you to buy; everything else will immediately resolve NO, and then you will resolve only the five best performing ones to 20% each. Is that right, and what's the exact time?

@HarrisonNathan i am not doing the investments on this one, this one is no longer whalebait just a normal market, ill keep track of the prices on may 1st and 6mo after.

i am using this to inform my investments here:

/strutheo/coolfold-financial-advice-suggest-i

@strutheo Okay, so I will make recommendations on that one at the end of the month.
But I am now totally confused as to how this market resolves.

@strutheo "Exactly six months after May 1st 2024 I will calculate the returns of those ten choices"
What are "those ten choices" now, if it's not whalebait?

@HarrisonNathan fixed

new version is out: https://manifold.markets/strutheo/coolfold-financial-advice-suggest-i

Invest in Liberty broadband.