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In which country's territory will the next nuclear explosion of any type occur?
11
Ṁ247
2027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
United States
13%
Russia
8%
Ukraine
14%
Iran
17%
China
42%
Other

  • Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the next nuclear explosion, which includes nuclear tests.

#World
#️ Wars
#Geopolitics
#️ Nuclear
#Nuclear Risk
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Including tests, right?

@ArmandodiMatteo yes

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In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?
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Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?
The next country to be nuked:
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025? (Tests included)
7% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
2% chance
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