resolves yes only if
the gun is the one used by the shooter
the bullets and/or gun are confirmed real and exist
there are statements clearly pro-transgender on the bullets or gun
these can be confirmed by sources that i deem trustworthy
the shooter agrees with the statements ie it is not a false flag, by my judgement
also note
this market is about the transgender claim, not the antifa claim, so if they reference only pro-antifa statements, that wont be enough to resolve TRUE

Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Additional condition for resolving YES: The shooter must end up agreeing with the statements on the gun/bullets.
@jim That's a crazy interpretation. If the transcriptions weren't trans-related, then he didn't have pro-trans transcriptions on his guns. You wouldn't give a market on him being a black man 50% because he was a man after all.
(I don't hold any positions in this market)
"Notices bulges; what's this" should absolutely count. That's pretty unambiguous
EDIT: okay, it's NOT unambiguous clearly
@strutheo yes, I know the origins, but I think the meaning has shifted over time, and paired with the other language on the bullet (anti-fascist stuff) and the timing of the shot (during a question on trans shootings), I think the meaning is pretty clear
nah this is an internet meme it is not specific to transgender people.... i can see why people might be confused with how its been used lately though, and im sure trump and maga will purposely claim it is, i do not think that is a truthful claim and to resolve this yes would only serve that narrative
@bens I'm sorry, but as an expert on these matters, it really, really hasn't. It's still very solidly a furry meme
@bens literally the only time i have seen "notices ur bulge owo" used in any transgender context it's been in a transphobic context
@strutheo if you search "notices bulges" in any webforum (make sure to filter by dates before Sep 12th, lol) you'll get about 80% content from furry community and 20% content from the trans community
I'm not gonna paste screenshots here but like: https://x.com/search?q=%22notices%20bulges%22%20until%3A2025-09-11&f=live&src=typed_query