US Rep. Mike Turner posted a warning, reportedly referring to Russian plans for nuclear weapons in space
https://x.com/houseintel/status/1757805804885823775?s=46
Resolves yes immediately if there is clear evidence of a nuclear weapon (designed for either satellite or ground targets) in space, or if Russia plausibly claims that they have successfully launched such a weapon.
If the US claims that such a weapon exists and Russia denies it, then the market will resolve according to the best evidence presented to me at the end of 2024
What is a nuclear weapon?
Must be a weapon: intended to damage another nation’s military or civilian infrastructure or cause loss of life
Must be nuclear: damage is primarily caused by the radiation emitted by a prompt nuclear fission or fusion reaction, or immediate downstream effects thereof.
Examples:
A space-launched nuclear missile intended for low-atmosphere detonation
A satellite-to-satellite nuclear missile
A nuclear EMP / “super EMP” designed to take out satellite communications
Non-Examples:
A satellite-to-satellite conventional missile, EMP or laser platform that is electronically powered by a fission reactor
An ICBM that enters space but does not enter orbit
1,000
1.00