Resolves upon data from the WHO, UNICEF, Gavi, or similarly respected institution that >2 million doses were delivered in a single month, or upon confirmed data from the same sources that fewer than 2 million doses were delivered in each month prior to January 1st, 2025. Resolves negatively if data cannot confirm whether or not >2M doses were delivered in a single month by the above date.

1Day Sooner has an R21 Status Report available here that may be useful.

More malaria-related questions can be found on our Manifold account here.