By the end of 2024, will at least 1 substantive Linux kernel commit have been written entirel by a large language model? | Manifold

By the end of 2024, will at least 1 substantive Linux kernel commit have been written entirel by a large language model?

Plus

19

Ṁ2518

Dec 31

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

It only counts if it's in mainline kernel.

Substantiveness is up to personal judgement, but I will intend to bias toward being lenient about what commits count as substantive. Simple formatting changes will not count.

Mar 14, 2:47pm: ~~By the end of 2024, will at least 1 substantive Linux kernel commit have been written solely by a large language model?~~ → By the end of 2024, will at least 1 substantive Linux kernel commit have been written entirel by a large language model?

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

Officially, the kernel doesn't accept such commits: https://social.kernel.org/notice/AbI3mXs8Hwvj2u9V7Q

So, any such commit would have to be surreptitious, and would probably be reverted if discovered.

Greg K-H (@gregkh@social.kernel.org)

This came up in a private thread about a kernel patch review where the contents were created with an "AI" tool, so I figured I might as well put it somewhere a bit more public as people don't seem ...

Related questions

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?

By 2025 will there be a competitive large language model with >50% of the total training data generated from a large language model?

Will Meta release an open source language model that outperforms GPT-4 by the end of 2024

Will 'jailbreaks' in large language models be solved in principle by the end of 2024?

Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?

Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?

How big will Mistral's known largest language model be? (2024)

Will a Large Language Model prove an important math theorem by end of 2024?

Related questions

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

By 2025 will there be a competitive large language model with >50% of the total training data generated from a large language model?

Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?

Will Meta release an open source language model that outperforms GPT-4 by the end of 2024

Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?

Will 'jailbreaks' in large language models be solved in principle by the end of 2024?

How big will Mistral's known largest language model be? (2024)

Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?

Will a Large Language Model prove an important math theorem by end of 2024?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules