Resolves YES if an individual is inaugurated as U.S. President, said individual has the same last name as a previous president, and said individual was not themselves president immediately prior to inauguration (so Biden being re-elected in 2024 won't count.)
(This happening before market creation will not count for the purposes of this market)
1,000
1.00@AndrewG How does Grover Cleveland not count then? He won two terms, but was not president immediately prior to his second inauguration. If this counts for Trump, then the market should have resolved YES immediately.
@lisamarsh yeah, Bush Jr and Bush Sr are often referred to that way, but John Adams & John Quincy Adams definitely have the same last name... so then why are you predicting no
@ShadowyZephyr Well, I assumed that none of the examples that have happened before the question being created (there are actually six: Adams, Harrison, Cleveland, Roosevelt, Johnson, Bush) would count, otherwise the question is a bit pointless…