What will be the population of “The Line” in 2033?
What will be the population of “The Line” in 2033?
Mini
13
Ṁ7832033
11k
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As reported here on Jan 1 2033:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Line,_Saudi_Arabia
If there is no population listed, or Wikipedia becomes defunct or unreliable, I will consider other sources for an accurate population count. The definition of population is the general definition for human cities, i.e. humans making their primary home within the structure (even if their place of work is not within the structure). If the structure is abandoned or destroyed before resolution such that no-one lives there, I will resolve to zero.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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