If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
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36
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21%
chance
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If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average
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@Balasar edit the closing date to be sometime after January 20th, 2026. Currently it's set to September 30th, 2024
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