If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
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60
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47%
chance
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If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average
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Looks like he was actually slightly above 40% for most of his first term https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
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