Will any FAANG company be split up due to antitrust action before 2029?
Will any FAANG company be split up due to antitrust action before 2029?
Plus
38
Ṁ21952028
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
predicts YES
What makes something “split up”? How substantial does it need to be?
eg UK forced Meta to sell GIPHY already :’)
/cloudfront-us-east-2.images.arcpublishing.com/reuters/5TEYE4LM6ZMCTAHLKT5WWBO3HY.jpg)
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Facebook, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, or Apple be broken up due to antitrust regulations by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030?
35% chance
Which of the FAANG companies will hold cryptocurrencies in 2024?
Will Lina Kahn and the FTC win a major anti trust case against any big tech company before 2026?
26% chance
Will Google be broken into separate companies, by October 9th, 2025?
10% chance
Will a government decision to break up Google come to pass before end of 2027?
48% chance
Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?
9% chance
Will Google be broken up after the anti trust hearing
5% chance
Will the U.S. Government sue OpenAI for violating antitrust laws by 2030?
63% chance
Will the Supreme Court strike down the FTC’s attempt to ban noncompete agreements before the end of 2026?
26% chance