Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?
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3
Ṁ17
2028
39%
chance

From ChatGPT, edited:

The New Power Party (NPP) in Taiwan is a political party that emerged in 2015, founded by a group of activists and individuals mainly from the Sunflower Student Movement, a series of protests advocating for transparency and accountability in the government. The NPP positions itself as a progressive and youth-oriented party, focusing on issues such as social justice, human rights, environmental sustainability, and democratic reform. Known for its commitment to civic engagement and political transparency, the NPP had gained traction among Taiwan's younger generation and urban voters. As a third force in Taiwanese politics, the NPP seeks to provide an alternative to the traditional political landscape dominated by the Kuomintang (KMT) and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). However, in the 2024 Legislative Election, the NPP failed to win any seats, effectively losing all their gains.

This is part of a series of 'long range' markets for the Taiwan 2028 Presidential Election, hopefully focused on questions that might bubble away over the next four years.

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