Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will any 'Green' party, except the DPP, win seats in the 2028 Legislative Election?
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แน152028
55%
chance
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1W
1M
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Here 'green' means Taiwan nationalist rather than 'environmentally friendly'. (although the Green Party Taiwan is green in both senses)
To qualify for YES resolution, a party must be listed as a member of the Pan-Green Coalition on Wikipedia. Reiteration that the DPP is excluded.
Note that the NPP is not a member even though they are a 'green' party, but this could change.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan-Green_Coalition
This is part of a series of 'long range' markets for the Taiwan 2028 Presidential Election, hopefully focused on questions that might bubble away over the next four years.
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