Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
21
Ṁ19532100
1D
1W
1M
ALL
56%
Alexei Kitaev
39%
Jamie Joyce
34%
Daniel Sheehan
28%
Robin Hanson
26%
Daniel Hillis
16%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
9%
9%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8%
Balaji Srinivasan
6%
Jack Dorsey
6%
Elon Musk
6%
Donald Trump
4%
John Preskill
Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.
Will resolve 'no' when they die.
Posthumously winning does not count for this market.
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