Will Trump declassify the Diddy OR Epstein lists in his first 100 days?
10
𝕊83
2025
27%
chance
  • Resolves YES if the Trump administration and/or any federal court releases to the public any (previously unavailable) files satisfying the criteria below in his first 100 days in office (between January 20th & April 29th, 2025). Otherwise resolves NO.

  • The files must both: (1) directly describe/relate to the illegal activities of either Jeffrey Epstein or Sean "Diddy" Combs AND (2) contain the names of multiple of their associates (whose association was not trivially obvious, e.g. family).

  • The announce of the release does not count—the public needs to be able to access the documents (even if some friction is involved).

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I don't think these lists actually exist, so I don't think he could declassify them even if he wanted to.

Sweeped!

bought Ṁ50 NO

Trump's on the epstien list so that's not coming out

@DavidOman There was also the civil case against him and Epstein

sold Ṁ50 NO

Although a court could release Diddy info

bought Ṁ100 NO

Inspired by Polymarket (Epstein, Diddy), and borrowing some of their resolution language, but I won't be required to follow their resolution. If any scenarios are unclear, please ask in advance.