Resolution source: https://trumpgolftrack.com/
Details:
Resolves YES if "Time Spent Golfing" is at least 25% after his first 100 days, and NO if "Time Spent Golfing" is <25%.
I plan to resolve following the linked webpage, and I make no promises about (a) the comprehensiveness/rigor of their sourcing & (b) the definitions they use.
However, if the site seems slow to update, I will wait a few days to resolve & will do my best to estimate what the true Day 100 percentage would have been based on their tally.
E.g. if it says "24%" on the 100th day but early the next morning they update the site and include that day as a golf day, it could still resolve YES, it's clear that the intended tally was 25%.
But if e.g. they "missed a day" because of their sourcing, that doesn't matter, it resolves based on their tally.
Other exception: if it's clear that the site is essentially abandoned (e.g. they're not making any sort of good faith effort to keep the tally updated), then this will N/A.
1,000
1.00@traders With this market winding down, here's the updated version for his first 6 months:
https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar Shows him landing at Bedminster tonight, then nothing until he leaves at 3pm tomorrow. Pretty sure he's planning on playing tomorrow. Either that or Easter would be the 25th day, if added to the site.
@Ziddletwix no it says he golfed 24 days. So he needs to golf one more day, and extensive news reports have him golfing on Easter. Maybe this isn’t a slam dunk yet. I am not asking anyone to resolve this.
@HillaryClinton i'm fairly sure the website is missing a number of golf days (i noticed on easter & once before, & those were like the two times i checked). it's possible they have some sort of evidentiary standard i can't follow, but the site also just may not be all that rigorous.
of course anyone is welcome to (politely) msg them if they missed a day. but not sure if they care to fix past mistakes anyways.
@Ziddletwix yea, I'm convinced Trump golfed Easter and will golf this Sunday. I'm not convinced it will meet the website owners criteria.
This could be a messy close. You should have a deadline for when it needs to be updated by.
@HillaryClinton yeah i was careful not to be overly precise in the description because the site is informal & i want to do my good faith interpretation of the website's tally. however, i will stick by what I wrote in the description:
However, if the site seems slow to update, I will wait a few days to resolve & will do my best to estimate what the true Day 100 percentage would have been based on their tally.
If I hadn't written that, I might wait much longer to see if they update any of the first 100 days. but since I wrote "few", I'll probably cap it at waiting ~5 days or so for the site to update.
@Ziddletwix the website is not abandoned, they just have a more strict interpretation of golf days. Yea waiting 5 or even 7 days is totally warranted. I would not be opposed. I even hold a "No" position now.
@HillaryClinton Are they counting any day he plays golf, or days he only plays golf (i.e. instead of working?) "Days spent golfing" seems like it might imply the second meaning. He did do some Presidential stuff on Easter.
@MugaSofer they are counting days he plays golf. He does some work even if only for a couple hours everyday I'm sure. He has briefings everyday.
The website person just has a high bar for proof.
@traders With this market winding down, here's the updated version for his first 6 months:
"Price of eggs" has now dropped below the initial price. I wonder how long they'll keep displaying it
@Shai Thought the same thing, only a matter of time before they take it off and put some other metric that happens to be going down at that time.
