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IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
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9
Ṁ212
2030
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolution matches with https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23 except resolves N/A if the US is not a party to the Iran nuclear deal on 31 Dec 2025.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Action

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
#Middle East
#Iran
#Nuclear Risk
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