Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Carrie Poppy: Great. Then he said there will be many natural disasters in 2024 around the world, including an earthquake in America and Italy. Now obviously there’s going to be an earthquake in America, and there’s going to be an earthquake in Italy. So, I assume this means like newsworthy earthquakes.
Ross Blocher: Including an earthquake in America and Italy. So, yeah, I think at least that says that those will be the notable ones that rise above all the others. Okay.
Carrie Poppy: Yes. Like, I don’t want to have to Google and find like, oh yeah, there was a 3.2 earthquake every day in America.
Ross Blocher: Yeah. So far, I’m pretty pleased with his level of specificity.
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
1,000
1.00@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.