Will I pay Manifold over $100 this year?
10
Ṁ1047Dec 31
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "YES" if I have spent more than $100 USD on Manifold Markets by December 31, 2025. It will resolve to "NO" if the total amount spent is $100 or less by the end of 2025.
This includes:
Purchases of Mana, Manifold's virtual currency.
Any other purchases or subscriptions paid to Manifold Markets
This excludes:
Manifest tickets
Charitable donations
Background:
The goal of this market is to surface medium-term monetization strategies.
During the sweepstake era, I purchased ~$50 of Mana in 2024.
I don't plan to buy more mana at the moment, as I have plenty to spare.
I don't currently see much value in boosting a market.
But I generally like the idea of supporting Manifold.
Get
1,000and
1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold offer any kind of paid subscription service before the end of 2025?
74% chance
Will Manifold raise another $500K USD in 2025?
69% chance
If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?
57% chance
If Manifold does not give me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?
37% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
22% chance
Up to how much would Manifold users be willing to pay/month if Manifold became subscription based?
-
What would you pay Manifold for?
Ṁ0 bounty