MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
➕
Plus
42
Ṁ11k
2026
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters.

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.

#️ Technology
#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
#World
#United States
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
1 Comment
Sort by:

What happens if BEA gets shut down or stops publishing these reports?

Related questions

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
34% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
35% chance
Will China's economy enter a recession by 2025?
21% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
30% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
17% chance
US Recession in 2025?
-4% 1d34% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
24% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
32% chance
Was the US already in a recession in July 2024?
1% chance

Related questions

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
34% chance
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
17% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
35% chance
US Recession in 2025?
34% chance
Will China's economy enter a recession by 2025?
21% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
24% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
30% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
32% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Was the US already in a recession in July 2024?
1% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout