Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
Plus
14
Ṁ6782036
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
If it is still working, resolves Yes.
If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
No if those questions permanently stop working.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2025?
97% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
82% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
96% chance
Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?
50% chance
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
54% chance
Will Metaculus be around in 10 years?
72% chance
Will the METR long-horizons have a >6 month doubling time for at least a 4 month period before 2026?
60% chance
[Metaculus] Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?
2% chance
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
How well will I (@draaglom) forecast on Metaculus in 2025? (Peer accuracy leaderboard)