If the US bans TikTok (or forces its sale), will the UK do the same within a year?
If the US bans TikTok (or forces its sale), will the UK do the same within a year?
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It now looks quite likely that the US will ban TikTok, or force Bytedance to sell it to partially sell to a US company, will the UK do the same within a year?
The one year timer begins once the US passes into law restrictions on TikTok. If Bytedance fully sells TikTok in response, and is no longer involved in the company before the UK has acted, this will Resolve N/A.
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If a US company buys the US version of TikTok, what's to stop that company from providing that app in other countries?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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